World wine production has increased by 3% on last year’s ‘historically low’ harvest, said the International Organisation of Vine and Wine (OIV) yesterday.
According to the OIV, the initial forecast for 2025 is between 228 and 235 million hl, with a mid-range estimate of 232 million hl. This is higher than last year but still 7% below the five-year average.
Within this, Italy remains the world’s largest wine producer in 2025, accounting for 47.3 million hl. France is second with 35.9 million hl and Spain is third with 29.4 million hl.
The USA is fourth in terms of production, expected to produce 21.7 million hl, which is a 3% increase on 2024, though still well below historical peaks and 9% less than the five-year average.
Australia was the fifth largest in terms of production at 11.6 million hl. This is up by 11% compared to 2024 but 2% less than the five-year average.
Finally, Argentina – which is the largest producer in South America – came in sixth place in terms of production. At 10.7 million hl, its volume was fairly similar to last year and slightly below the average.
On the level of production, the OIV said “As in recent years, climatic variability remained the dominant factor shaping global wine production in 2025.
“In the Northern Hemisphere, producers faced contrasting weather patterns – from prolonged drought and heat limiting yields in parts of southwestern Europe to excess rainfall, storms and disease pressure elsewhere – resulting in highly uneven outcomes across regions. Only a few areas experienced more balanced conditions, where regular rainfall and moderate temperatures supported above-average harvests.
“In the Southern Hemisphere, weather patterns were likewise mixed: heatwaves, drought and irregular rainfall reduced yields in parts of Chile and kept Australia below average despite a modest recovery, while some regions benefited from a mild and predominantly dry season.
“Overall, the 2025 climatic pattern underscores the increasing variability between and within hemispheres, with favourable conditions in some areas insufficient to offset weather-related losses elsewhere.”
Nonetheless, the OIV added that the global wine market is likely to remain broadly balanced. It said that limited production growth will help stabilise stocks “in a context of softening demand and ongoing trade uncertainties”.
